Zrinjski Mostar 3-2 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-9.5pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.0pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.27/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+5% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
6W-0D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2026 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-2 HT 0-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSK
11.11.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 2-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
11.08.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-4 HT 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
13.05.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-4 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
26.11.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-5 HT 0-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
20.08.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-1 HT 2-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
3-2
AWAY GOSK Gabela
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar squeezed past GOSK Gabela 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 63% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 37%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.83 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs GOSK Gabela?

Zrinjski Mostar 3-2 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 70%, draw 19%, GOSK Gabela 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✗ BTTS No
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