Velez Mostar 4-1 FK Sarajevo — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 12:18
Match Result
Home
36%
2.48
Draw
32%
3.02
Away
32%
2.68
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
62%
1.59
Over
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Velez Mostar The Market 40%
Signal
AWAY FK Sarajevo The Market 37%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.19 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
Great Attack Strength Bad
– Defense Strength –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2026 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
02.12.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
20.09.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
08.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
19.10.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.04.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
REVIEW Velez Mostar vs FK Sarajevo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Velez Mostar ran out comfortable winners over FK Sarajevo 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

From a near-even 36% / 32% / 32% read, it was Velez Mostar who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for Velez Mostar against 1.50 for FK Sarajevo.

Velez Mostar vs FK Sarajevo Result & Final Score

Velez Mostar 4 - 1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Velez Mostar vs FK Sarajevo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 36%, draw 32%, FK Sarajevo 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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