FK Sarajevo 0-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.09
+15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
20.09.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
08.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
19.10.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.04.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
01.12.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar nicked a narrow win over FK Sarajevo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Sarajevo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.17 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar?

FK Sarajevo 0-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 44%, draw 25%, Velez Mostar 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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