FK Sarajevo 2-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.96/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.58
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
08.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
19.10.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.04.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
01.12.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
28.08.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.03.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
2-0
AWAY Velez Mostar
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo saw off Velez Mostar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 55% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 45%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.33 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar?

FK Sarajevo 2-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 61%, draw 19%, Velez Mostar 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
20 Sep 2025
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