Trans Narva 4-3 Viimsi MRJK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 11 Mar 2026

Trans Narva
4-3 HT 2-0
Viimsi MRJK
📅11/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Estonia - Cup – 2025/2026

Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.29
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
73%
+4.2pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.4pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trans Narva v Viimsi MRJK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Viimsi MRJK EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
4.03/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.66
+31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +101%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.6

Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Viimsi MRJK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.03.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-3 HT 2-0 Viimsi MRJK Viimsi MRJK ESTK
18.11.2023 Viimsi MRJK Viimsi MRJK 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva nicked a narrow win over Viimsi MRJK 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trans Narva and 2.00 for Viimsi MRJK.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK?

Trans Narva 4-3 Viimsi MRJK in the Estonia - Cup on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 77%, draw 14%, Viimsi MRJK 9%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ESTK More Estonia - Cup
11 Mar 2026
19:00 Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev Analysis →