Paide Linnameeskond 6-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.11
Away
9%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
16%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
85%
-5.6pp
12%
Draw
9%
+2.5pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.40/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-31% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +62%
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
09.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
26.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.03.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 5-0 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
17.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-2 HT 3-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
21.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
6-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 75% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 25%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.17 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev?

Paide Linnameeskond 6-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Cup on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 80%, draw 12%, Tallinna Kalev 9%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ESTK More Estonia - Cup
11 Mar 2026
19:00 Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK Analysis →