Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tallinna Kalev v Paide Linnameeskond — Team-Based Signals
Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Paide Linnameeskond
EST1
1-1
HT 0-0
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
1-1
HT 0-0
Paide Linnameeskond
EST1
Tallinna Kalev 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Actual Match Statistics
Tallinna Kalev edged past Paide Linnameeskond 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Paide Linnameeskond carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 27% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 73%, shots finished 9-27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.17 for Paide Linnameeskond.
What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond?
Tallinna Kalev 3-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 21%, draw 24%, Paide Linnameeskond 55%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.