FC Kuressaare 0-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.14
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
13%
+10.9pp
61%
Away Win
79%
-18.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 84%
+15% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.09/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.61
+53% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 528 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.06.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
23.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.08.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
06.06.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-1
AWAY FC Levadia
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past FC Kuressaare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 29% of the ball to FC Levadia's 71%, shots finished 4-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.50 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia?

FC Kuressaare 0-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 15%, draw 24%, FC Levadia 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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