FC Levadia 0-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.5pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.0pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.60/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.36
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +1%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
446 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
23.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.08.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
06.06.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.04.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-1 HT 3-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
0-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
72% Ball Possession 28%
29 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia and FC Kuressaare played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Levadia at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, FC Levadia had 72% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 28%, shots finished 29-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for FC Levadia and 0.50 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Kuressaare?

FC Levadia 0-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 66%, draw 18%, FC Kuressaare 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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