Tallinna Kalev 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
70%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.3pp
15%
Draw
14%
+1.4pp
70%
Away Win
79%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
0.67/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.82
-12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -23%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
218 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
26.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.03.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 5-0 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
17.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-2 HT 3-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
21.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
15.06.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-5 HT 2-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-3
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 36% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 64%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.83 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Tallinna Kalev 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 15%, draw 15%, Paide Linnameeskond 70%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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