Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.47/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-15% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2W-4D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-3 HT 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.06.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
04.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
01.07.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool squeezed past FC Kuressaare 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harju Jalgpallikool as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 41% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 59%, shots finished 10-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harju Jalgpallikool had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare?

Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 47%, draw 26%, FC Kuressaare 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
17 Sep 2025
17:15 Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju Analysis →
19:00 FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn Analysis →
19:30 Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond Analysis →