Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.16
+22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1W-4D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
04.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
01.07.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
07.03.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool and FC Kuressaare shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Harju Jalgpallikool at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 70% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 30%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Harju Jalgpallikool had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare?

Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 49%, draw 25%, FC Kuressaare 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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