FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.9pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.5pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
2.77/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.80
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
431 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
09.11.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-1 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-3 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
10.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn got the better of Tallinna Kalev 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 66% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 34%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.83 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 66%, draw 19%, Tallinna Kalev 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5
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29 Jun 2025
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