FC Kuressaare 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.78
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
04.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
01.07.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
07.03.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-3
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool saw off FC Kuressaare 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FC Kuressaare at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 57% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 43%, shots finished 25-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harju Jalgpallikool led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.17 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Kuressaare 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 45%, draw 23%, Harju Jalgpallikool 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Kuressaare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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