Trans Narva 4-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.87/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.56
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
3W-1D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.04.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
03.11.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-3 HT 2-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.08.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.05.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
16.03.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-5 HT 0-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
4-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva cruised past JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 64% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 36%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trans Narva and 1.67 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Trans Narva 4-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 54%, draw 22%, JK Tammeka Tartu 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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