FC Levadia 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.3pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.85/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.41
-8% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
12.04.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.11.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
30.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
04.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
05.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-3
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn beat FC Levadia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Levadia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 56% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 44%, shots finished 19-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Levadia and 1.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Levadia 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 56%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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