FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.51
+8% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.11.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
30.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
04.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
05.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-0
AWAY FC Levadia
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past FC Levadia 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; FC Flora Tallinn found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 24% of the ball to FC Levadia's 76%, shots finished 5-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.33 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 37%, draw 21%, FC Levadia 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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