Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-19.0pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.54/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.36
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.11.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.08.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
26.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju swept aside FC Kuressaare 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 60% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 40%, shots finished 23-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 55%, draw 24%, FC Kuressaare 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
18 May 2025
14:30 FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Analysis →