FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.3pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 55%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.04/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.61
+62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
05.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
20.01.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia HAZ
05.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-1
AWAY FC Levadia
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn squeezed past FC Levadia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 37% of the ball to FC Levadia's 63%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.67 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 22%, draw 34%, FC Levadia 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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