FC Levadia 4-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.18/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.73
+54% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +105%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
04.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
05.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
20.01.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia HAZ
05.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
4-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia saw off FC Flora Tallinn 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 54% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 46%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Levadia and 0.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Levadia 4-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 44%, draw 30%, FC Flora Tallinn 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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