Nomme United 0-4 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
66%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
6%
+9.5pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.7pp
66%
Away Win
81%
-15.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 85%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.14/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.89
-81% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -31%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
275 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 548 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 7-2 HT 5-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
12.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
19.10.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
0-4
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond cruised past Nomme United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme United had 35% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 65%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nomme United and 3.75 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme United 0-4 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 15%, draw 19%, Paide Linnameeskond 66%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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