Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parnu JK Vaprus v Tallinna Kalev — Team-Based Signals
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
1-1
HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
0-2
HT 0-0
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 Tallinna Kalev — Actual Match Statistics
Parnu JK Vaprus beat Tallinna Kalev 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Parnu JK Vaprus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 39% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 61%, shots finished 7-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.50 for Tallinna Kalev.
What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?
Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 41%, draw 25%, Tallinna Kalev 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.