Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tallinna Kalev v Paide Linnameeskond — Team-Based Signals
Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Paide Linnameeskond
EST1
Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Actual Match Statistics
Tallinna Kalev squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paide Linnameeskond at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 30% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 70%, shots finished 7-21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 3.00 for Paide Linnameeskond.
What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond?
Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 20%, draw 18%, Paide Linnameeskond 61%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.