Paide Linnameeskond 5-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.3pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.0pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
2.65/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.52
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
444 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-2 HT 3-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
21.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
15.06.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-5 HT 2-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
27.09.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-1 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
12.08.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
5-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
69% Ball Possession 31%
32 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond swept aside Tallinna Kalev 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 69% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 31%, shots finished 32-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.50 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev?

Paide Linnameeskond 5-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 66%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
30 Mar 2025
14:30 FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju Analysis →