FC Levadia 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.58/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.09
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTSK
27.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.08.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
12.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 HT 1-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-3 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past Nomme JK Kalju 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Levadia had 59% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 41%, shots finished 23-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Levadia and 1.17 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Levadia 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 53%, draw 20%, Nomme JK Kalju 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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