FC Levadia 3-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Super Cup, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.08.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
12.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 HT 1-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-3 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.07.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 3-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
3-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past Nomme JK Kalju 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 66% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 34%, shots finished 21-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Levadia and 0.83 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Levadia 3-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Super Cup on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 49%, draw 25%, Nomme JK Kalju 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →