Dijon (K) 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.25/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.84
-7% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
18.1 Crosses 14.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.96 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 231
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
12.04.2025 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
10.02.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
2-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.49 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
391 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) beat Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dijon (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 53% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.49 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dijon (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dijon (K) and 0.50 for Saint-Étienne (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Dijon (K) 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 46%, draw 26%, Saint-Étienne (K) 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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