Farnborough 3-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +28%
1.88/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +45%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Chippenham Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
04.04.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
18.03.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
3-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough beat Chippenham Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Farnborough had 41% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 59%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Farnborough and 1.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Chippenham Town?

Farnborough 3-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 50%, draw 24%, Chippenham Town 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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