Spennymoor Town 5-2 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.0
6+ Goals
8%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 30% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.8pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.2pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
3.09/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.40
+58% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
440 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Banbury United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-3 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
22.04.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-1 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
22.10.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Banbury United Banbury United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
5-2
AWAY Banbury United
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town swept aside Banbury United 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 58% of the ball to Banbury United's 42%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spennymoor Town and 0.33 for Banbury United.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Banbury United?

Spennymoor Town 5-2 Banbury United in the England - Conference on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 67%, draw 19%, Banbury United 14%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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