Truro City 0-2 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
16.01
Draw
26%
7.13
Away
53%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.14
No
58%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 33% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
4%
+17.5pp
26%
Draw
11%
+14.8pp
53%
Away Win
85%
-32.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
28%
+14.1pp
58%
BTTS No
72%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +26%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
184 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-1 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
17.07.2015 Truro City Truro City 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
0-2
AWAY Yeovil
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil beat Truro City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yeovil as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Truro City had 39% of the ball to Yeovil's 61%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Truro City and 1.50 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Yeovil?

Truro City 0-2 Yeovil in the England - Conference on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Truro City 21%, draw 26%, Yeovil 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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