Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saburtalo v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra
GUR
1-2
HT 0-2
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra
GUR
Gagra
GUR
3-3
HT 1-1
Saburtalo
GUR
Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo got the better of Gagra 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Saburtalo had 46% of the ball to Gagra's 54%, shots finished 16-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Saburtalo and 1.17 for Gagra.
What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 54%, draw 25%, Gagra 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.