Samtredia 1-2 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Apr 2024

Samtredia
1-2 HT 0-0
Telavi
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Samtredia vs Telavi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+11.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samtredia v Telavi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.13/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.60
+6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Samtredia vs Telavi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Telavi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Telavi Telavi 1-1 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
06.08.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
26.04.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
25.02.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
03.10.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-2 Telavi Telavi GUR
23.06.2021 Telavi Telavi 2-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR

Samtredia 1-2 Telavi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
1-2
AWAY Telavi
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telavi squeezed past Samtredia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Telavi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Samtredia had 48% of the ball to Telavi's 52%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telavi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samtredia and 1.17 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Telavi?

Samtredia 1-2 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samtredia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 39%, draw 23%, Telavi 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Samtredia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samtredia) ✓ Over 2.5
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