Udinese vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Udinese vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Milan
İTA
4-2
HT 2-2
Udinese
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Udinese
İTA
Udinese 0-4 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Milan swept aside Udinese 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Udinese had 53% of the ball to Milan's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.78 to 2.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Udinese and 1.67 for Milan.
What was the final score of Udinese vs Milan?
Udinese 0-4 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Udinese 30%, draw 25%, Milan 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.