Milan vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Udinese — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Milan
İTA
4-2
HT 2-2
Udinese
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Udinese
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Milan
İTA
Milan 1-0 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics
Milan edged past Udinese 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Milan had 44% of the ball to Udinese's 56%, shots finished 10-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Milan and 1.67 for Udinese.
What was the final score of Milan vs Udinese?
Milan 1-0 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Udinese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Milan 56%, draw 22%, Udinese 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.