Como 1-1 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Oct 2024

Como
1-1 HT 1-1
Parma
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over Pick
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.66
2-3
36%
1.91
4-5
27%
2.86
6+
12%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
4.39
X/2
6%
9.0
X/X
15%
5.67
2/1
11%
21.2
2/2
12%
6.16
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 27%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.25/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.58
+70% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTB
20.10.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
18.03.2023 Como Como 2-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTB
29.10.2022 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
06.04.2022 Parma Parma 4-3 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
28.11.2021 Como Como 1-1 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-1
AWAY Parma
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
510 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Como vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como and Parma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Como at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Como had 61% of the ball to Parma's 39%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Como and 1.50 for Parma.

What was the final score of Como vs Parma?

Como 1-1 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Como 47%, draw 28%, Parma 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Como), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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