Juventus 1-0 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.62
Over
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.56
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.61
6+
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
22%
4.4
X/2
9%
7.12
X/X
14%
3.91
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
10%
5.75
2/X
10%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.63
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.0 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lazio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 519
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2024 Lazio Lazio 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTK
02.04.2024 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTK
30.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
16.09.2023 Juventus Juventus 3-1 HT 2-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
08.04.2023 Lazio Lazio 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
02.02.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
1-0
AWAY Lazio
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
545 Passes 209
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus nicked a narrow win over Lazio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Juventus had 69% of the ball to Lazio's 31%, shots finished 16-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Lazio?

Juventus 1-0 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juventus 46%, draw 29%, Lazio 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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