Genoa 2-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.64
Over
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.66
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.42
6+
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.12
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
11%
7.57
X/2
16%
4.27
X/X
11%
4.05
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.73
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.01/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.20
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.1 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bologna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 1.52
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
220 Passes 463
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.01.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
21.05.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.09.2021 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
12.05.2021 Bologna Bologna 0-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
09.01.2021 Genoa Genoa 2-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
2-2
AWAY Bologna
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
187 Passes 367
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa and Bologna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genoa had 38% of the ball to Bologna's 62%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Genoa and 0.67 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Bologna?

Genoa 2-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Genoa 32%, draw 28%, Bologna 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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