FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Bari 1908 v Palermo — Team-Based Signals
FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Bari 1908
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Palermo
İTB
0-2
HT 0-1
Palermo
İTC
FC Bari 1908 2-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics
FC Bari 1908 squeezed past Palermo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day FC Bari 1908 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 51% of the ball to Palermo's 49%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.33 for Palermo.
What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo?
FC Bari 1908 2-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 34%, draw 32%, Palermo 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.