Palermo vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Bari 1908
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Palermo
İTB
0-2
HT 0-1
Palermo
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Bari 1908
İTC
Palermo 1-0 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo squeezed past FC Bari 1908 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Palermo had 36% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 64%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.32 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palermo and 0.17 for FC Bari 1908.
What was the final score of Palermo vs FC Bari 1908?
Palermo 1-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs FC Bari 1908?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Palermo 45%, draw 30%, FC Bari 1908 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.