Greuther Fürth vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greuther Fürth v Köln — Team-Based Signals
Greuther Fürth vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Köln
AL1
3-1
HT 0-1
Greuther Fürth
AL1
0-4
HT 0-3
Köln
AL2
4-0
HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
AL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
AL2
Greuther Fürth 1-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics
Greuther Fürth and Köln shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Köln at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Greuther Fürth had 47% of the ball to Köln's 53%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.53 to 2.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.33 for Köln.
What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Köln?
Greuther Fürth 1-1 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Köln?
Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 29%, draw 23%, Köln 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.