Hamburg vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Braunschweig
AL2
4-2
HT 2-1
Braunschweig
AL2
0-2
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Hamburg
AFK
Hamburg 2-4 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics
Braunschweig beat Hamburg 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hamburg at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Hamburg had 62% of the ball to Braunschweig's 38%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.79 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hamburg and 1.17 for Braunschweig.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs Braunschweig?
Hamburg 2-4 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Braunschweig?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 57%, draw 23%, Braunschweig 21%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.