Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.54/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.50
+6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 1-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-3 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
14.04.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen and Illertissen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wacker Burghausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wacker Burghausen and 1.33 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen?

Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 36%, draw 25%, Illertissen 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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