Homburg 5-1 Kickers Offenbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.12/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.21
-29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kickers Offenbach
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 5-1 HT 1-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
12.04.2024 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 3-5 HT 3-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-2 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 Homburg Homburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Kickers Offenbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg ran out comfortable winners over Kickers Offenbach 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Homburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Homburg and 2.00 for Kickers Offenbach.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Kickers Offenbach?

Homburg 5-1 Kickers Offenbach in the Germany - Regional League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Kickers Offenbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Homburg 40%, draw 25%, Kickers Offenbach 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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