Kickers Offenbach 5-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.69/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.68
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Offenbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Homburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 3-5 HT 3-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-2 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 Homburg Homburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Offenbach cruised past Homburg 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kickers Offenbach as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kickers Offenbach and 1.67 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg?

Kickers Offenbach 5-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Offenbach win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kickers Offenbach 52%, draw 26%, Homburg 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kickers Offenbach), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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