Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.41/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.98
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-4 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
18.10.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel nicked a narrow win over Werder Bremen II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Drochtersen / Assel made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.67 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Werder Bremen II?

Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 42%, draw 21%, Werder Bremen II 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
11 Oct 2024
20:00 Buchbach vs Vilzing Analysis →
20:00 Schweinfurt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg Analysis →
20:00 Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg Analysis →
20:30 Lübeck vs Kickers Emden Analysis →
20:30 Schalke 04 II vs Gütersloh Analysis →
20:30 Wiedenbrück vs Türkspor Dortmund Analysis →