Schweinfurt 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.52/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.77
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
22.07.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-5 HT 1-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
17.05.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-2 HT 1-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
23.10.2021 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt and Viktoria Aschaffenburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Schweinfurt at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schweinfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schweinfurt and 1.00 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Schweinfurt 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 53%, draw 25%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schweinfurt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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