Buchbach 1-1 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2024

Buchbach
1-1 HT 0-1
Vilzing
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Buchbach vs Vilzing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buchbach v Vilzing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.71/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.51
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 19.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Buchbach vs Vilzing Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Vilzing
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 3-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach and Vilzing couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Buchbach at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Buchbach and 2.00 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Vilzing?

Buchbach 1-1 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 44%, draw 28%, Vilzing 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buchbach), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buchbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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