Lübeck 3-1 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 48%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-59% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kickers Emden
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2022 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-6 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 3-0 HT 1-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck saw off Kickers Emden 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Lübeck and 0.00 for Kickers Emden.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Kickers Emden?

Lübeck 3-1 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 32%, draw 30%, Kickers Emden 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Emden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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