Stripfing 2-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
13%
16.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
8%
8.6
X/2
19%
4.22
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.41
2/X
6%
14.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stripfing EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.95/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.08
+63% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stripfing
2W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Pölten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 HT 0-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
28.04.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-1 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
06.10.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 4-1 HT 3-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH Stripfing vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stripfing squeezed past St. Pölten 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stripfing had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stripfing and 0.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Stripfing vs St. Pölten?

Stripfing 2-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stripfing vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stripfing 27%, draw 26%, St. Pölten 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pölten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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