11/04/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88
— our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
26%
Draw
24%
35%
Away Win
24%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
48%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Voitsberg v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Voitsberg
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sturm Graz II
EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+7%
1.29/1.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.12/2.07
-26%
/
-16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+69%
/
-20%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
310 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
221 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
5.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Voitsberg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Sturm Graz II
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Voitsberg and Sturm Graz II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz II?
Voitsberg 1-1 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Voitsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Voitsberg 39%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Voitsberg) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Voitsberg)
✓ BTTS Yes
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11 Apr 2025